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Thread: Rubberhead's 2022 White-tail Buck Activity Predictor...

  1. #41
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    How is this tropical storm going to affect deer movement next week?

  2. #42
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    oh my. deer move after the new moon and get shot a lot?
    stop the presses
    Ugh. Stupid people piss me off.

  3. #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2thDoc View Post
    oh my. deer move after the new moon and get shot a lot?
    stop the presses
    You are kinda crotchety
    Them that don't know him won't like him, and them that do sometimes won't know how to take him

    He ain't wrong, he's just different, and his pride won't let him do things to make you think he's right

    They don't put Championship rings on smooth hands

  4. #44
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    Dec 2007
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    Quote Originally Posted by trkykilr View Post
    You are kinda crotchety
    Kinda?

  5. #45
    jwilliams's Avatar
    jwilliams is offline 2th Doc's Fishing understudy
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    Rh - can’t tell exactly by your graph. Is today or tomorrow the day I kill the giant?
    Quote Originally Posted by Glenn View Post
    Does Elton John know you have his shotgun?

  6. #46
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    Quote Originally Posted by jwilliams View Post
    Rh - can’t tell exactly by your graph. Is today or tomorrow the day I kill the giant?
    Judging by the deer I'm seeing dead on the road, it's time to get in the woods. I'm taking Monday and Tuesday off.
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    Ephesians 2 : 8-9



    Charles Barkley: Nobody doesn't like meat.

  7. #47
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    Jan 2003
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    A 130 lb 6 point ruined the front end of a Ford super duty diesel in front of me yesterday at 2pm.....on hwy 34 near Mechanicsville.

    Looked like he hit a telephone pole.

    Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk
    Last edited by Catdaddy; 10-07-2022 at 07:15 PM.

  8. #48
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    Jul 2008
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    They were moving tonight.

  9. #49
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    Jan 2008
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    I’m taking off Wednesday Thursday and Friday. Hope the charts work.

  10. #50
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duckman#1 View Post
    I’m going to say your early Nov prediction is wrong
    Duckman#1, How'd your early November go?

    I've added the deer LR and I killed to my predictor. I promise, I went during the valleys and just didn't get a chance at a good deer.
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    Ephesians 2 : 8-9



    Charles Barkley: Nobody doesn't like meat.

  11. #51
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    How does that chart account for the warm, humid late October and early November we had? Such a bummer. I hate hunting in warm weather.

    I killed a buck right at your October peak. Haven't been much at all since then, too busy with work. Next week I should be able to get a few afternoon hunts in to perfectly line up with what your chart says is a low movement week. I guess it's better than not going, at least the air will be cooler.

    Maybe I'll kill a doe or 2. Last week I had one walking around near dark and she came from downwind. She was on alert and moving too much in such low light for me to feel comfortable taking the shot. Big doe too, would have been good meat.

  12. #52
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    Sep 2009
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    9/25 9/26 10/6 10/11 11/6, days I killed bucks. Lot of correlation to your chart and hunted 3-4 times/wk until now. Interesting

  13. #53
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    JimmyD714,
    Weather and disturbance are two factors that I didn't build into the Vulnerability Predictor model. Weather is a factor but I don't have time to keep up with a weather forecast. Disturbance is mostly random so unpredictable. I do think it's neat that man has learned to create his own disturbance by dropping dogs into deer woods to get the bucks walking (or running).

    I will say that I honestly believe that almost all of the "rut" activity is based on two other factors; moon and photoperiod. Luckily these factors aren't just predictable they're deterministically calculable. Weather plays a minor role but I don't think a doe waits for it to get cool before she goes into heat. And, I don't think a buck waits for certain weather before slipping around in adjacent areas to see where the cute does are hanging out and where his competition might be living. I think these things are based on photoperiod and moon phase.

    It was very warm when I killed the deer on November 7th. He was bedded so I didn't see him until he stood up to walk. It was around 4:45pm that evening when he stood up. My nephew was also hunting that evening and said he started seeing bucks up and walking about the same time I shot. I think it's pretty well agreed that all deer in an area will get up and move at about the same time each day when left undisturbed.

    That being said, I had a lot of deer on trailcam during the previous hurricane. Seems they were up and walking due almost entirely to the local weather.
    Ephesians 2 : 8-9



    Charles Barkley: Nobody doesn't like meat.

  14. #54
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    Your predictor jived pretty well w what we saw this year so far. Sure there are plenty of outliers. Pretty cool, Thanks.

  15. #55
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    If you are in the upstate, you better get in the woods. 1 text from the day before the storm and 2 this morning from hammers down. My cameras lit up last night with bucks I haven’t seen in weeks.
    "George Washington didn't use his freedom of speech to defeat the British, he shot them."

  16. #56
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    Sep 2001
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    Wateree, South Carolina
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    I am watching 2 bucks fighting in the marsh right now. Time to be in the woods...

  17. #57
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    Oct 2009
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    Mighty slow in the Lowcountry where I was this morning. Saw 1 doe.

  18. #58
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    Quote Originally Posted by beech View Post
    Mighty slow in the Lowcountry where I was this morning. Saw 1 doe.
    No doubt. Plenty of mosquitoes, zero deer.

  19. #59
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    Sep 2001
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    Just had a random spike run through the yard...

  20. #60
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    All my neighbor's cows were laying down in the pasture when I got to the farm today. That usually translates to a slow deer time. Maybe they'll be rested up by the afternoon.

    Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk

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