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Thread: Oh hail

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
    Location
    Wateree, South Carolina
    Posts
    48,810

    Default Oh hail

    Heads up...



    SPC AC 170734

    Day 3 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0234 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2020

    Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

    ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN
    TEXAS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES...

    ...SUMMARY...
    Severe storms are likely Sunday across the Gulf Coast states. The
    greatest threat appears to be from Louisiana to Georgia, with
    significant severe storms expected including tornadoes and damaging
    winds. Large hail is likely as well.

    ...Synopsis...
    A low-amplitude shortwave trough with 60-70 kt midlevel speed max
    will move from the southern Plains across the lower MS Valley during
    the day, and will reach the East Coast by 12Z Monday. Preceding this
    trough, a broad area of 50 kt midlevel westerlies will exist across
    the entire southeastern CONUS.

    At the surface, mid-to-upper 60s F dewpoints will surge north behind
    a warm front, located roughly from southern AR to central MS, AL and
    GA by 18-21Z. Meanwhile, a dryline will develop eastward across TX,
    with a weak surface low near the ArkLaMiss by 00Z. As the shortwave
    trough approaches, southwesterly 850 mb winds will increase to 30-40
    kt during the day, and over 50 kt after 00Z. This will result in an
    expansive area of favorable moisture, instability and shear, with
    numerous severe storms possible through the period.

    ...East TX to GA and SC...
    Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over northern MS and AL
    related to warm advection. These storms may pose a hail threat
    initially. With time, these storms may transition to surface based,
    with an evolving threat of damaging winds or tornadoes from AL into
    GA coincident with a 300+ m2/s2 ESRH max.

    To the west, other storms are likely early to midday over eastern
    TX, but storm mode is uncertain. Given the increasing lift,
    especially after 18Z across LA and MS, an MCS will be possible. In
    addition, supercells, possibly tornadic, may form ahead of any MCS
    over LA and MS. The general model trend is for upscale growth, and
    this could be a combination of storm modes. At any rate, tornadoes,
    damaging wind, and large hail will all be possible.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    Monticello, AR
    Posts
    1,946

    Default

    We don't need that crap again this weekend. I hope it won't be near as bad. Areas around us won't have power for another couple of weeks and we just got power back on yesterday.
    For the ducks

  3. #3
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    Sep 2001
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    Wateree, South Carolina
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    Default

    Looking better, and whatever comes, Monday seems to be the day...


  4. #4
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
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    Wateree, South Carolina
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    Default

    Timeline speeding up some...




  5. #5
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Hampton Co./Bluffton
    Posts
    7,817

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    No bueno. Was in the low state today Hampton/Jasper county area. Truly devastating losses!
    Quote Originally Posted by Chessbay View Post
    Literally translated to, "I smell like Scotch and Kodiak".
    "Let us cross over the river, and rest under the shade of the trees"- Gen. Thomas "Stonewall" Jackson

  6. #6
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    Dec 2011
    Location
    Rock Hill SC
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    9,154

    Default

    Saying Sunday thru Monday again

  7. #7
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    May 2008
    Location
    East Cooper
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    1,843

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    Gonna be 101 today down here in Brownsville Tx with 15-20kt winds. Gonna feel like a hairdryer

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
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    Wateree, South Carolina
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    Default


  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Location
    Branchville
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    5,860

    Default

    The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is,
    as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government.

    Thomas Jefferson

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Summerville
    Posts
    14,557

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    Rain has set in in Summerville. Some thunder, some lightening...nothing major yet.

  11. #11
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Newberry SC
    Posts
    3,522

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    Rain on Easter Sunday it will rain the next seven Sundays.

  12. #12
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Edisto/Camdenshire
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    8,387

    Default

    Raining pretty good here at Edisto Seafood. About to put da pot on da stove and steam some crabs.
    Quote Originally Posted by walt4dun View Post
    Monsters... Be damned if I'd ever be taken alive by the likes of faggot musslims.
    Quote Originally Posted by 2thDoc View Post
    I am an equal opportunity hater.

  13. #13
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    Dec 2010
    Location
    Summerville
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    14,557

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    Woke up to only hazy skies. Thankful this moved right on through and was uneventful.

  14. #14
    Join Date
    May 2019
    Posts
    490

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    Rain early. Then sunny and 71 deg.. Last nights rain(not a storm) dropped 2 1/4" of rain. Going turkey hunting in the morning.

  15. #15
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    Sep 2001
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    Wateree, South Carolina
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    Wow...


  16. #16
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    Nov 2015
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    Wow what?

  17. #17
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    Sep 2001
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    It is an energy plume coming off one of the storms last night. Some of you can't see twitter clips for whatever reason. Here is the link...

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1253119614403227648

  18. #18
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    Jan 2008
    Location
    Boiling Springs
    Posts
    6,370

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    Big tornado on the ground headed towards Brunswick, GA

  19. #19
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    York
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    3,171

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    Quote Originally Posted by CAJUN LAB View Post
    Big tornado on the ground headed towards Brunswick, GA
    My aunt lives there. That’s not good
    Quote Originally Posted by squatty View Post
    R. Not
    So then, just as you received Christ Jesus as Lord, continue to live in him, rooted and built up in him, strengthened in the faith as you were taught, and overflowing with thankfulness. —Colossians 2:6–7

  20. #20
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    Jan 2008
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    Boiling Springs
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    Quote Originally Posted by M.R.Ducks View Post
    My aunt lives there. That’s not good
    Looks like it hopped just north to Everett

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